Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 4.919527 5.601839 6.353521 7.244547 8.273850 9.427795 10.822654
2025-04-13 3.927309 4.795637 5.827581 7.149764 8.806540 10.823894 13.481578
2025-04-20 3.448348 4.434303 5.674068 7.358423 9.604024 12.518292 16.624907
2025-04-27 3.091293 4.145010 5.532153 7.509586 10.284772 14.083343 19.749337
2025-05-04 2.858415 3.974460 5.503530 7.777307 11.116678 15.909917 23.435395
2025-05-11 2.534058 3.632508 5.188976 7.587906 11.250422 16.726783 25.715429
2025-05-18 2.291183 3.376439 4.962024 7.487300 11.482920 17.687964 28.304103
2025-05-25 2.091172 3.160595 4.767532 7.405378 11.719638 18.660360 31.006997
2025-06-01 1.909151 2.952867 4.562000 7.277957 11.858096 19.472526 33.520678
2025-06-08 1.744759 2.756590 4.354016 7.120691 11.921431 20.151909 35.867649
2025-06-15 1.690289 2.730694 4.414679 7.411786 12.772137 22.268235 41.081412
2025-06-22 1.599836 2.636774 4.353204 7.484178 13.239938 23.746119 45.276888
2025-06-29 1.494875 2.511308 4.230304 7.441052 13.502154 24.891438 49.015668
2025-07-06 1.393988 2.384478 4.093997 7.359694 13.682640 25.899194 52.613010
2025-07-13 1.348680 2.351179 4.118877 7.577044 14.455213 28.145031 59.121246
2025-07-20 1.297926 2.303521 4.112896 7.733365 15.121132 30.248756 65.622372
2025-07-27 1.267099 2.289495 4.166860 8.009856 16.057788 33.020341 74.041981
2025-08-03 1.178292 2.160082 3.992763 7.814270 15.988196 33.628587 77.487006
2025-08-10 1.108272 2.061220 3.869464 7.710383 16.102057 34.649127 82.072620
2025-08-17 1.046221 1.973214 3.760450 7.625793 16.247945 35.755453 87.033048
2025-08-24 0.983959 1.880356 3.634742 7.494227 16.274424 36.586676 91.409809
2025-08-31 0.923333 1.786591 3.500312 7.331854 16.213506 37.202542 95.309106
2025-09-07 0.913152 1.794050 3.573590 7.632410 17.261534 40.625944 107.388773